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2017 Selection Sunday Cheat Sheet

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By Zachery Bonzheim

Selection Sunday is coming up closer and closer. Many people want to know where their team stands and how they compare to the field. This article intends to show in an organized manner where all major conferences stand in regards to the NCAA Tournament. The rankings are from the AP Top 25 of February, 6th, 2017. The RPI and tournament chance was last updated on February, 6th, as well.

 

The conferences, which are underlined and italicized, are cut into five categories; Locks, Good Teams, NCAA Bubble, NIT, and No/Other Postseason. Locks are teams bound for the tournament, good teams have minimal work left to do and must just finish out the year, NCAA bubble teams must win out in most cases, NIT team are teams who will likely find themselves out of the tournament come Selection Sunday but may make the secondary tournament, and rest of the teams are too little too late. Not all conferences have teams that fall into each category.

The teams are ranked by their chance at making the tournament. Any numbers or “RV” before a team name indicates their AP Poll ranking or that they have received votes. The second statistic is their overall record, a very misleading figure. This is followed by the RPI, a very useful statistic in determining real skill level and then in parentheses is their RPI national ranking. Finally, their overall chance of making the Big Dance is listed as a percentage.

Example: #3 Kansas, 20-3, .660 (4), 100%

Kansas is the third ranked team in the AP Poll, their overall record is 20 wins and 3 losses. Their RPI is .600, putting them at fourth in the nation and they have a 100% chance of making the tournament

 

Atlantic 10

Locks (2)

RV VCU, 18-5, .605 (29), 92%

RV Dayton, 16-5, .601 (32), 90%

Good Teams (1)

Rhode Island, 15-7, .591 (38), 81%

NIT Teams (3)

Davidson, 12-9, .532 (113), 6%

Richmond, 14-9, .543 (102), 5%

St Bonaventure, 14-8, .542 (104), 5%

No/Other Postseason (8)

La Salle, 12-9, .549 (93), 3%

George Mason, 14-8, .520 (129), 1%

George Washington, 12-11, .515 (144), 1%

Saint Joseph’s, 10-12, .513 (147), 1%

UMass, 12-11, .509 (158), 1%

Fordham, 9-13, .484 (193), 0%

Duquesne, 9-15, .469 (220), 0%

Saint Louis, 8-15, .452 (244), 0%

 

ACC

Locks (6)

#4 Louisville, 19-4, .661 (3), 100%

#8 North Carolina, 20-4, .659 (5), 100%

#14 Florida State, 20-4, .656 (6), 100%

#12 Virginia, 17-5, .639 (14), 100%

#18 Duke, 18-5, .623 (19), 100%

RV Notre Dame, 17-7, .606 (27), 92%

Good Teams (1)

Syracuse, 15-9, .562 (72), 49%

NCAA Bubble (4)

Miami, 15-7, .575 (55), 35%

Wake Forest, 14-9, .604 (30), 33%

Virginia Tech, 16-6, .589 (44), 31%

Clemson, 13-9, .586 (46), 29%

NIT Teams (2)

Georgia Tech, 13-10, .560 (75), 5%

NC State, 14-10, .545 (99), 3%

No/Other Postseason (2)

Pittsburgh, 12-11, .572 (58), 0%

Boston College, 9-15, .490 (187), 0%

 

Big 12

Locks (3)

#3 Kansas, 20-3, .660 (4), 100%

#6 Baylor, 20-3, .6797 (1), 100%

#13 West Virginia, 18-5, .597 (34), 100%

Good Teams (3)

RV Iowa State, 14-8, .590 (40), 81%

RV Oklahoma State, 15-8, .606 (28), 70%

RV Kansas State, 16-7, .591 (39), 50%

NCAA Bubble (2)

TCU, 16-7, .509 (42), 51%

Texas Tech, 16-7, .552 (90), 7%

No/Other Postseason (2)

Texas, 9-14, .516 (138), 0%

Oklahoma, 8-14, .512 (153), 0%

 

Big East

Locks (4)

#2 Villanova, 22-2, .674 (2), 100%

#24 Xavier, 17-6, .650 (9), 100%

#22 Butler, 18-5, .646 (13), 100%

#23 Creighton, 19-4, .636 (16), 100%

Good Teams (1)

Marquette, 15-8, .567 (65), 55%

NCAA Bubble (2)

Seton Hall, 14-8, .592 (36), 41%

Georgetown, 13-11, .567 (66), 20%

NIT Teams (1)

Providence, 14-10, .565 (69), 7%

No/Other Postseason (2)

St John’s, 11-14, .526 (121), 0%

DePaul, 8-15, .459 (231), 0%

 

Big Ten

Locks (3)

#7 Wisconsin, 20-3, .632 (17), 100%

#16 Purdue, 19-5, .621 (22), 100%

#21 Maryland, 20-3, .622 (21), 96%

Good Teams (3)

RV Northwestern, 18-5, .599 (33), 77%

Minnesota, 16-7, .615 (24), 68%

Michigan State, 14-9, .584 (49), 62%

NCAA Bubble (1)

Indiana, 15-9, .561 (73), 41%

NIT Teams (3)

Michigan, 14-9, .556 (79), 19%

Ohio State, 14-10, .566 (68), 11%

Iowa, 14-10, .545 (100), 4%

No/Other Postseason (4)

Illinois, 12-11, .564 (71), 2%

Nebraska, 10-13, .554 (82), 1%

Penn State, 12-12, .545 (98), 0%

Rutgers, 12-11, .520 (127), 0%

 

PAC 12

Locks (3)

#5 Oregon, 20-3, .650 (10), 100%

#10 UCLA, 21-3, .616 (23), 100%

#9 Arizona, 21-3, .649 (11), 100%

Good Team (2)

RV USC, 20-4, .611 (26), 88%

RV Cal, 17-6, .589 (43), 69%

NIT Teams (1)

Utah, 13-8, .556 (78) 22%

No/Other Postseason (6)

Stanford, 11-11, .564 (70), 2%

Colorado, 12-11, .539 (107), 1%

Arizona State, 11-13, .523 (123), 0%

Washington State, 10-12, .511 (154), 0%

Washington, 9-14, .493 (183), 0%

Oregon State, 3-20, .424 (299), 0%

 

SEC

Locks (3)

#15 Kentucky, 18-5, .652 (7), 100%

#17 Florida, 18-5, .649 (12), 100%

#19 South Carolina, 18-4, .630 (18), 100%

Good Teams (1)

Arkansas, 17-6, .593 (35), 60%

NCAA Bubble (1)

Tennessee, 12-10, .592 (37), 45%

NIT Teams (4)

Georgia, 12-10, .576 (54), 17%

Vanderbilt, 11-12, .570 (60), 14%

Ole Miss, 14-9, .573 (57), 11%

Alabama, 13-9, .560 (76), 7%

No/Other Postseason (5)

Texas A&M, 12-10, .553 (84), 4%

Auburn, 15-8, .568 (63), 3%

Mississippi State, 14-8, .533 (112), 1%

LSU, 9-13, .515 (145), 0%

Missouri, 6-16, .451 (247), 0%

 

 

 

Additional sites that may help in an attempt to have a better understanding of the selection process and rankings are posted below.

http://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/2016-06-27/march-madness-selection-sunday-2017-dates-schedule

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NCAA_basketball_tournament_selection_process

https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-tournament/bracketology/

https://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/projections/standings/

https://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/rpi/

 

Zachery Bonzheim